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Value in a whitewash

by ben 27. May 2010 00:54

When I was first thinking about England-Bangladesh I thought that there was no way I would find any interesting bets for the series or individual tests. The early lines showed total England domination and given the Bangla's early tour form it's hard to see past that. However now that the lines are up I'm intrigued.

First up CricketBetLive has the Bangladesh run line at 249.5 if they bat first and given that it looks to be slightly cloudy at Lords tomorrow and somewhat humid early on I like the under here. The second line that excites me is Mahmudullah's match performance at 70.5*. Here is a guy who is averaging a whopping 139 points per test against decent opposition (West Indies, India, New Zealand and England) and will definitely get a chance with ball and bat. Even more compelling is that outside the sub-continent he has averaged 174 points per game! England should and will smash the Tigers, they're still a very weak test side and haven't come on like the Sri Lankan side of the late 1990s, early 2000s did but that doesn't mean we can't make money. Definite top pick of the Test is Mahmudullah > 70.5. Good luck.

* 20 points per wicket, 1/run, 10/catch, 25/stumping.

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Comments

Have decided to get in on this game, seems more fun as a predictor tool than conventional betting.

Best bet there is Strauss' line of 40.5. He is batting on his home ground against questionable opposition, and will probably field in the slips, so could take a catch or two. 16 runs per innings and one catch will do it.

By Howe_zat on 5/27/2010 2:47:10 AM

Howe_zat, you're already in the money. I reckon the Sofa should start taking commission for winning bets. That said, I don't like the alternative downside given Ben's variable record in the T20.

By daniel on 5/28/2010 9:33:39 AM

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