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...I predict that Shaoib Akhtar's hair will already be a lank, sweaty, disgusting mess. As for the actual match predictions, they are a bit tougher.  Pakistan played well against a Somerset XI  earlier in the week and the change of faces, partly enforced and partly by choice, will enable them to forget about the hammering they took in the Test series. I like them to win one of the two T20s and at 2.84 at CricketBetLive I think they are good value.

England have changed things up a bit with their batting bringing Steve Davis, the Surrey 'keeper, back into the line up and retaining Kieswetter just for his batting. It seems like an odd choice to me as the South African hasn't had a great season with the bat but he has continued to perform in the ODI set up for England and it's probably fair to keep him in the side. I like Davis over 32.5 points at CBL, I think the best opportunity for run scoring will be at the start of the innings against pace on what is traditionally a slow and low scoring pitch at Cardiff.

One bet to be alert for during the game is the run lines. Often on these pitches where the ball doesn't really come on teams can start well but the loss of one wicket signals a flurry and a run line that was at 190 can tumble down to 160 pretty fast. I'd look to go under the runs just as the main spinners come on for each team, Ajmal for Pakistan and Swann for England. I'll also be going under the next wicket to fall when they come on.

Good luck, pick of the day is under on the next wicket when Swann comes on.

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